Modeling of Age Specific Fertility Rates of Jakarta in Indonesia: A Polynomial Model Approach

نویسنده

  • Md. Rafiqul Islam
چکیده

The purpose of this study is to build mathematical models to age specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and forward cumulative ASFRs for Jakarta, Indonesia. For this, the secondary data of ASFRs have been taken from Muhidin (2005). It is observed that ASFRs and forward cumulative ASFRs follow polynomial models. To examine whether they are valid or not, model validation technique, cross-validity prediction power (CVPP) and F-test are applied to those mathematical models. Keywords― Age Specific Fertility Rates (ASFRs), Polynomial Model , CrossValidity Prediction Power (CVPP), t-test, F-test. ——————————  ——————————

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تاریخ انتشار 2011